Jacksonville negotiators continue to hash out the details of stadium renovation with the NFL Jaguars, and it appears that the project will be scaled-down from the team's ambitious 2023 proposal that suggested taxpayers would be on the hook for more than a billion dollars.
Meanwhile, a novel approach to financing the deal may keep the city from having to finance the whole thing through the bond market – and that approach may help to ameliorate another long-standing issue for the local government.
As lead negotiator Mike Weinstein told Florida Politics, the stadium district that the team envisioned as part of the package is off the table.
"It's only stadium," Weinstein said of the negotiation, noting that the team and the city has "never had a serious conversation about the property" around the stadium.
It's in a Community Redevelopment Area, thus necessitating "many legal steps that need to be taken."
Among those steps would be opening up competition for development.
"It's got to be made public," Weinstein said, noting this agreement doesn't contemplate "property rights" for the Jaguars or Shad Khan.
The Jaguars and the Shad Khan vehicle "Iguana Investments" previously envisioned a total investment that could cost as much as $2.068 billion, a number that could include stadium improvements costing between $1.2 and $1.4 billion, as well as between $550 and $668 million for development of a "sports district." Jacksonville was proposed to foot the bill for ⅔ of the cost of stadium improvements, with a 50/50 cost share for the total project.
Weinstein says that's up in the air at this point.
"We're knee deep in negotiations and I can't do it through you, but we won't go to the public or the council without a logical and justifiable split," Weinstein said.
The ultimate cost of the stadium itself isn't known, Weinstein said, as it's not "fully designed" yet. And therefore questions are open.
"It's not fully designed until it's really fully designed. You don't really know how much it's going to cost. You don't know how many of the elements are going to cost things, and whether the temperature is gonna come down as much as you need to have it come down and how the roof's gonna work."
Meanwhile, the city is exploring creative financing options, including finding a way to finance some of the deal by leveraging assets from the Police and Fire Pension Fund and the General Employees pension fund, which Weinstein says combine to have $5 billion in assets that could be lent to the city for this deal and repaid at an interest rate that meets the PFPF targets.
This rate would be higher than that obtained by conventional financing through the bond market, Weinstein said, but would prevent the city from having to pay fees and other costs on the money shifted from the pension fund to the infrastructure project.
Weinstein discussed "the possibility if it becomes viable to have some of that, a small percentage of that invested in the city, which would be basically, instead of putting it into land, instead of putting it into the stock market, they would put some of it and give it to the city."
"The city would in return, guarantee principle and interest at their AAA return target," Weinstein said.
The agreement would also include an opportunity for the pension funds to "have a call on it, which means at any time they're stressed for cash, they can call some of it back, which they'll never be because they've got $5 billion in cash basically."
"So they'll be protected if they do this, they'll meet their target, they'll invest in the city, they'll have the ability to call back if, if in fact, they get into a cash problem for the city, it will be a little bit more of an interest rate than we would get if we go to the bond market for this."
"But if we go to the bond market, we have fees and we have insurance, purchases to cover the bond and what have you. So, we have to look at the gap between what we would guarantee to them versus what we could get on the marketplace. Minus all of the fees that we also have to pay, but we'd be paying ourselves, we'd be basically helping the pension fund close quicker."
Weinstein noted, regarding pension, that he expects the ½ penny sales tax currently allocated to Better Jacksonville Plan repayment to be shifted to paying down the city's legacy defined benefit pension plan, closed in 2016, by Jan. 2027. That would shift $130 or $140 million a year into paying off that old debt, he said, fulfilling the pension reform agreement entered by the Lenny Curry administration.
If interest rates go down to favor borrowing from outside city funds, Jacksonville could issue its own call and "put it in the financial marketplace," Weinstein said.
This is a separate issue than labor negotiations that are ongoing with public safety unions currently, he noted, since the proposal has "zero connection" to employees and unions and since the police and fire negotiations are expected to be finished before stadium financing becomes an issue.
Mayor Deegan has suggested a deal will be ready to present to City Council this summer, which would be the transition point between the Ron Salem and Randy White presidencies.
The Mayor's Office won't rush the deal, Weinstein said, but he expects the current President – who has been keenly interested in the process – to be part of the mix.
"Salem has the beginning of the summer. The new president, whoever that will be, will have it at the end," Weinstein said, adding that he thinks Salem ultimately will "be the one that manages the stadium process through Council."
Though there have been tensions between the Mayor's Office and Salem, Weinstein believes the relationship "in no way hampers or interferes with the process that we're under."
Likewise goes the relationship with the Jaguars, whose president Mark Lamping talks to him roughly once a week."
"The Jaguars want to be here and we want them here and I'm pretty confident we're gonna end up with an agreement and I have to say that it's been a very congenial and very good process with the Jaguars."
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