On our ways to war with China, that's only, ONE big problem that the new president elect, Lai is now, faced with, so he can't expect that he can sit still and look pretty like his predecessor, Tsai was able to…observations, predictions of our collective future, of off the Front Page Sections, translated…
Taiwan had been described by The Economist as the "most dangerous place on earth", before the last president, Tsai steps down from presidency, the tension between China and Taiwan had been at an all-time, high. On Lai's first speech as the president elect on May 20th, we do NOT expect a "boomerang", we only hoped, that "the interactions between Taiwan and China don't worsen".
In his speech, Lai said he hoped that "China and Taiwan will seek out peaceful existence together, benefiting one another"; but after hearing his words, the Chinese reaction believed, that "this is sending off the message of Taiwanese independence, the dangerous signal of destroying the peace between Taiwan and China". And so, as the American president, Biden used a firm hand toward China to get support for the Democrats in seeking a second term, Lai may mistake, that his speech was a "heart-to-heart" with the U.S., but in the end, the results were, "heart shattering" for China, and, this landed Taiwan into a very dangerous, situation.
There are three challenges that the new government led by Lai is to face:
First, how to set a good interaction means with the parties not in control of the government. Lenin once stated, "the strongest fortress can only be breached from within". Due to the difference of "cognition", the head of internal affairs of Taiwan had long been troubled by "what are we fighting for" too long, this caused Taiwan to not be able to reach a consensus between the people of Taiwan, to make us feel that we're "all on the same boat".
Lai is more than aware, that the internal affairs took up the majority of his inaugural address, and he'd stressed the importance of working together. But Lai, being "a president of minority", he is to face the political biosphere of parties at war, the disparity of the legislative and executive branches of government, along with the ideologies, the groups fighting constantly, causing a fractured society. All of these, "internal worries" will keep Lai from effectively mastering the "relationship from without".
Secondly, how to handle the relationship between U.S. and Taiwan. In his inaugural address, Lai mentioned especially the American's "H.R. 8036, supporting the peace and stability between Taiwan and China; but, if Taiwan followed U.S.'s lead, then, it would cause the U.S. to turn from a mediator to a primary actor of the relationship between Taiwan and China, and Taiwan will lose complete control over our own tactile independence.
This is an election year in the U.S, no matter who enters into the White House, the U.S. will continue to view China as its primary, competitor. And, the tactical position and the strength in technologies Taiwan has, will surely be used, as a "card" that will help prevent "the rise of China", it's just how the island would be used, is not yet, known.
Although, "fighting with each other, not breaking the ties" had been the long-term interaction style between the U.S and China, but Taiwan just might turn into, a vital, "opening", and became, the unfortunate surrogate of war between China and the U.S.
The DDP stresses on "preparation of war", but the combined assessment of power is we have less, and they have, more, and Taiwan will surely, rely on the U.S., solely, to fight this, "uneven war"; while the will of U.S. helping Taiwan, will be combatted by the politics of U.S. itself, and the power struggles of U.S. versus China.
Third, how to handle the relations between China and Taiwan. Xi, the leader of Chinese Communist Part said, "we must, hold tightly to the proactive power of development of the interactions with Taiwan". After the presidential election, Communist China had tossed out many "answer sheets" toward Taiwan, suing the softer, and the harder, means.
For instance, through the Ma-Xi Meet, Xi mentioned that "we are from the same race", to open up this brand new outlook of China interacting peacefully with Taiwan; unfortunately, the DDP had, cast this, aside, while Lai intentional, disregarded this, subject matter.
In his speech, Lai showed a proactive approach toward his communications with China, and interactions with China, especially on the part where the visiting tourists and the students from China to Taiwan to visit and to study. The new government may use the principle of "both sides on equal basis", to use the more loosened means. But like the Hong Kong conference back in 1992, any of the negotiations between Taiwan and China, can't drift away from the status of power over the territories.
Lai stressed that he would "use communication instead of fighting", suggested that the two parties first begin a conversation together. But, what's happened didn't happen overnight, as the DDP embraces the principle of Taiwanese independence, and on the founded basis of not acknowledging the politics of the 1992 agreement, it would only be more difficult for Taiwan to "talk" to China.
Anyways, the situation Taiwan faces post May 20th is: Hard to avoid war, hard to prepare for war. How to know what should be done and when, leading Taiwan out of this, state of being, stuck, that affects every resident's safety on the island, becomes the first hardship the newly president elect, Lai will face.
And so, Lai can't get comfy in his big seat at all, just because he'd won, there's the minority representation of the DDP in the legislature, because we the people are PISSED off at what Tsai did in the past EIGHT years, and there's the exterior troubles with China, and so, the newly president elect will need to focus on both the outside AND the inside, and, chances are, he won't be able to, manage, which means, this "country" is totally, going, D-O-W-N.
On this path to war with China, and unless we the people of this FUCKING (so???) island start growing the gills, none of us will live through this newly elected president's term…
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