A poll conducted by Florida Atlantic University and Mainstreet Research shows Florida's junior Senator is poised to win a second term, with the likely Democratic nominee far behind in a poll of 865 voters in the state.
Republican Rick Scott has 51% support in a still-hypothetical contest against former U.S. Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who has just 35% in the trial heat, which was polled between April 15 and April 17.
In what should be especially concerning for Mucarsel-Powell and the Florida Democratic Party, 19% of Democratic respondents and 17% of those who voted for Joe Biden in 2020 say they would back the former two-term Governor over Mucarsel-Powell, who is better known in South Florida than she is statewide.
Scott has a nearly 2-to-1 lead among male voters, taking 61% against just 31% for his potential Democratic challenger. Yet he also holds a marginal lead (43% to 39%) against Mucarsel-Powell among women, despite the central plank of her campaign so far being hammering Scott about support for Florida's Heartbeat Protection Act, which bans abortion after the sixth week of a woman's pregnancy.
Scott leads with all age cohorts as well, with Mucarsel-Powell way behind among voters between 35 and 64 years of age. She has just 30% support among those groups.
Pollsters used text message recruitment and IVR to complete the survey, which has a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.
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